Friday, September 3, 2010

THE MAGIC AND MAVERICK INGREDIENT IN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

During the last decade, a new business phenomenon has emerged which has the potential to change the economic fortunes of many nations.

Known as global start-ups, these are generally defined as new ventures that sell their goods or services in international markets through taking advantage of new technologies and changes in consumer behaviour.

Amazon, the online retailer, is probably the best example of such a business, having been determined, from its first day of trading, to be a major global player.

Not surprisingly, global start-ups are particularly attractive to governments as they grow quickly to create employment and turnover from high value added international activities.
They do so by leveraging their global knowledge of business in their chosen niche market to expand internationally over a short period of time, adapting their business model as they develop.

Some policymakers make the classic mistake that such global businesses are only related to emerging sectors such as IT, biosciences and digital economy.

This is despite increasing evidence that businesses created within other sectors, especially those that are service-based, are also quickly becoming global without being dependent on technology-based advantages.
Instead, they focus on other factors to internationalise quickly, such as improving productivity, introducing new methods of production and focusing on service delivery.

So how can you develop such global start-ups?

Certainly, there is a case for governments to provide more tailor-made policies and programmes to encourage indigenous businesses to fast track their international development from day one.

However, there is also a drive by some policymakers to adapt the traditional foreign direct investment model to develop the phenomenon of global starts.

One such example is the Global Entrepreneur Programme (GEP). This is an initiative established seven years ago by UK Trade and Investment (UKTI), the Westminster Government’s international trade division.
Rather than focusing on large inward investment projects, its aim is to identify the world’s brightest entrepreneurial talent and then get them to use the UK as a strategic headquarters and location for international expansion.

Operating as a high-level dating agency, the GEP’s aim is to go beyond normal business support and act as a catalyst to bring together these entrepreneurs with potential investors, entrepreneurial management and strategic partners in the UK to transform their initial ideas into global success.

To date, GEP has worked with over 85 entrepreneurs, and brought in over £150 million in venture capital investment to help grow the next generation of global firms.

So how has UKTI achieved this success?

Essentially, they have gone outside the civil service straitjacket and developed what many would think is an impossible combination, namely a group of individuals working within a government department who can spot early stage opportunities, introduce entrepreneurs to the right investors and get things done, no matter what the issues.

Of course, these so-called “dealmakers” are not your ordinary civil servants. Instead, they are a group of experienced serial entrepreneurs with extensive technology and global business know-how who have been recruited because of their empathy with other entrepreneurs looking to set up an international venture.

Through their specialist networks in key technology markets and previous experience of raising capital, they are ideally placed to help those businesses looking to set up their base in the UK as a home for their global headquarters.

Their “hands on” approach means that they essentially act as more than just your average public sector client manager. Instead they work closely alongside entrepreneurs to assist them to fully globalise their business opportunities not only when they launch, but also as the business grows.

As the UKTI broadly boasts, such individuals are the “magic and maverick ingredient in the GEP mix”.

The question is why we don’t have such individuals working within Wales and focusing on programmes that combine the potent mix of entrepreneurship and internationalisation?

There is no doubt that the Welsh economy needs to up its game internationally, especially as we currently only have 2.7 per cent of the total number of exporters in the UK and one of the worst export performances of any region.

However, given the bureaucratic nature of the civil service within Wales, especially within the Department of Economy and Transport where form filling rather than supporting businesses seems to be the norm, it would take an enormous leap of faith by the Minister to change the culture of an organisation that encourages an environment which stifles any innovation or personal initiative.

If WAG was really serious about developing a new approach to economic development, then it should establish a group of “magic” and “maverick” business advisers with experience of entrepreneurial management within the heart of economic development, as the UKTI has done. This would enable private sector experience and expertise to be combined with the ability of Government, when it so wishes, to cut through red tape and open doors to the right people.

Who knows what economic success such individuals could bring to the Welsh economy? Perhaps we would then be creating the next Amazon with its headquarters here in Wales rather than merely being the location of one of its many global distribution centres.

Thursday, September 2, 2010

America's Banks are Financially Baked - Crispy and Risky


Financially crispy, and unfortunately risky. That is the blunt truth regarding the US banking industry.

The unfortunate and scary reality of the matter is that out of the nearly 8,000 banks that are FDIC insured almost 830 of them are on the "oh crap" list that is kept by the FDIC.

That is a little more then 1 out of every 10 banks, or more specifically 11%.


By "oh crap" I am implying that they have been flagged by the FDIC as a potential credit risk. This does not mean that they have or will fail, nor does this mean that they are even likely to fail. It just means that they are seen as having an unfavorably high level of risk compared to the typical FDIC insured banking firm. If you are one of those that want nothing to do with finance (you must be lost) please note that "risk" always exist. There is a risk that you will find and lose a suitcase full of money today.

They all will continue to be insured by the FDIC. Your money is safe (besides it's just paper we can print as much as we want, what it is, or will be, worth is the only risk) up to the insured limit.


Bank Failures


Almost 120 banks have failed year to date. 140 banks failed last year. if we stay on this pace then we should have 300 bank failures in two years time by Christmas of 2010.

I just love the holidays don't you?

Another big event or lack of event reported by the FDIC is that there have been zero new FDIC insured banking firms over the last quarter. I am not sure but that may very well be a first.

Loan Origination

Though default rates have eased for the first time since 2006 or something crazy like that, banks are still not lending. The only loans that are really being originated are car loans.

This is no good. I have no more to say on that end.

How about some brighter numbers...

One glimmer of hope is that in terms of profitability, things are headed in the right direction. For instance during the second quarter these 7,800 banking institutions collectively profited by 21.6 billion dollars which is 25 billion dollars better then last years second quarter results.

As of now 80% of banks are profitable.

Back to the bad news...

But then again that means that 1 in 5 banks are operating at a loss.

During the first three months of 2010 total assets held by banking institutions decreased by 135 billion dollars.

The bottom line of all this is in line with the a previous and recent post on this finance blog that discussed the current state of the US economy.

Things are kinda... almost... could be improving. However there is room to worry.

The most bothersome notion from all this is that I, and some other folks who know a thing or two about finance and all that other god awful subject matter, see a very close, and very scary ledge, or rather cliff, running parallel to the narrow road of recovery that are hybrid economy car is traveling.

All we can do is pray that it is not a Toyota.

(I made a funny)

(I like Toyota)

Related Articles

The Current State of the US Economy

Credit Unions vs Banks

Housing Stability